Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Pembrokeshire tonight

West Wales · 52° magnetic latitude · Kp 6-7 threshold

Aurora visibility · Pembrokeshire
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 6-7 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Pembrokeshire.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 6-7
Magnetic latitude
~52°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 24 Jun, 13:00 UTC

7-day outlook for Pembrokeshire

Today
24 Jun
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
25 Jun
3
Quiet
Fri
26 Jun
3
Quiet
Sat
27 Jun
3
Quiet
Sun
28 Jun
3
Quiet
Mon
29 Jun
3
Quiet
Tue
30 Jun
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

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What Kp is needed here?

Pembrokeshire sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 52°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 6-7 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 6-7, visibility is possible from Pembrokeshire but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Pembrokeshire

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Strumble Head

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 15 km from Fishguard - approximately 20 minute drive

The lighthouse headland north-west of Fishguard faces north across the Irish Sea with open Atlantic views to the north and west. One of the darkest coastal positions in Wales. Accessible by road with a small car park at the lighthouse.

St David's and the Pembrokeshire Coast

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 60 km from Carmarthen - approximately 55 minute drive

Britain's smallest city sits in a national park with minimal light pollution. The coast north and south of St David's faces west and north-west over the Irish Sea with no land between it and Ireland to the north-west and nothing but ocean to the north.

Garn Fawr hillfort

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 13 km from Fishguard - approximately 18 minute drive

An iron age hillfort on a rocky summit above Strumble Head. The elevated position at around 213 m gives 360-degree views with open Irish Sea to the north and west. Properly dark, with no nearby settlement light.

Marloes Peninsula

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky, good dark sky 28 km from Haverfordwest - approximately 35 minute drive

The narrow peninsula west of Milford Haven gives open sea on three sides with north-facing cliff tops. The coast path above Marloes Sands gives clear north-westerly views over St Bride's Bay.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Pembrokeshire

At 52°N magnetic latitude, Pembrokeshire sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Pembrokeshire's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 6-7
Checking darkness…
Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 6-7
Checking darkness…
Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 6-7
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Pembrokeshire?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Pembrokeshire's threshold of 6+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0.4Jan
0.4Feb
0.5Mar
0.4Apr
0.3May
0Jun
0.1Jul
0.4Aug
0.5Sep
0.4Oct
0.4Nov
0.3Dec

Counts the Kp 6+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Pembrokeshire

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
0.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
2nd
September
0.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
January
0.4
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The January to March window averages 1 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

Aurora at this latitude requires patience - allow as many nights as possible during March.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Pembrokeshire

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over Pembrokeshire Aurora over Pembrokeshire
Aurora over Pembrokeshire Aurora over Pembrokeshire
Aurora over Pembrokeshire Aurora over Pembrokeshire
Aurora over Pembrokeshire Aurora over Pembrokeshire
Aurora over Pembrokeshire Aurora over Pembrokeshire
Aurora over Pembrokeshire Aurora over Pembrokeshire
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Pembrokeshire

Is Pembrokeshire good for aurora watching?
Good for Wales. The Pembrokeshire coast faces north and north-west over the Irish Sea with no land between it and the aurora. The Strumble Head area gives Bortle 3-4 conditions with essentially no light pollution in the northern direction. At Kp 6-7 a display is visible from the coast.
What Kp is needed for aurora in Pembrokeshire?
Kp 6-7 from Strumble Head and the north Pembrokeshire coast. At ~52°N magnetic latitude a moderate geomagnetic storm is required. The coast's advantage is the lack of any obstructed northern horizon - the Irish Sea gives an unbroken view to the north from any headland.
Why is Strumble Head good for aurora watching?
Strumble Head is one of the furthest westerly accessible points in Wales and faces directly north over the Irish Sea. The lighthouse headland has no developed land to the north for hundreds of kilometres of open ocean. Combined with the complete absence of nearby light sources, it gives some of the darkest and most unobstructed northern sky in Wales.
Can you see the northern lights from St David's?
From the coast and headlands around St David's, yes. The city itself has minimal light pollution and is entirely surrounded by national park. Ramsey Island to the north-west and the St David's Peninsula coast give open north-facing sea views. During Kp 6-7 a display is visible from the headlands.
How does Pembrokeshire compare to the Brecon Beacons for aurora?
Different advantages. The Brecon Beacons gives higher altitude and is an International Dark Sky Reserve. Pembrokeshire gives open sea horizons facing north with coast that is notably dark. For coastal aurora photography the Pembrokeshire coast is exceptional. For the overall sky experience, the Beacons are slightly darker overhead but Pembrokeshire is better for low north-horizon displays.
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