Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Launceston tonight

Northern Tasmania, Australia · 52° magnetic latitude · Kp 5–6 threshold

Aurora visibility · Launceston
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 5–6 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Launceston.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 5–6
Magnetic latitude
~52°S
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 25 Jun, 19:06 UTC

7-day outlook for Launceston

Today
25 Jun
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
26 Jun
3
Quiet
Sat
27 Jun
3
Quiet
Sun
28 Jun
3
Quiet
Mon
29 Jun
3
Quiet
Tue
30 Jun
3
Quiet
Wed
1 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Launceston sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 52°S. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 5–6 before the auroral oval expands far enough north to be visible from here.

At Kp 5–6, visibility is possible from Launceston but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Launceston

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark southern horizon within reach.

Ben Lomond National Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 50 km from Launceston - approximately 90 minute drive

A mountain plateau at 1500 m elevation, 50 km southeast of Launceston. The alpine dolerite columns give an elevated open sky above valley haze. The road to the plateau is open from spring to autumn; in winter it can be icy. The plateau faces south with wide open views across central Tasmania. The lack of trees above the treeline makes it one of the best elevated positions in the state for aurora photography. Drive via Evandale and Blessington, allow 90 minutes.

Bay of Fires (northeast coast)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 120 km from Launceston - approximately 90 minute drive

The northeast Tasmanian coast between St Helens and Binalong Bay gives a dark, south-facing ocean horizon with orange lichen-covered rocks. The beach at Swimcart or Cosy Corner faces southeast across the Tasman Sea. A 90-minute drive from Launceston via St Helens. The area has no significant settlements for 30 km south and east. Clear nights here can give excellent aurora conditions during Kp 5-6 events, with the aurora appearing over the southern ocean horizon.

Bicheno (east coast)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky, good dark sky 115 km from Launceston - approximately 90 minute drive

A small coastal town 115 km southeast of Launceston. The beach and headlands south of town face south to southeast across the Tasman Sea. Minimal light pollution south of town. The Freycinet Peninsula 15 km south is darker still. Bicheno's penguin tours mean there is accommodation and the town is a practical base for an east coast aurora watch. Drive 1.5 hours from Launceston via Conara.

When to go

Best time to see the aurora australis in Launceston

At 52°S magnetic latitude, Launceston sits at the outer edge of regular aurora australis territory. Only the southern winter months, May through July, occasionally bring storms powerful enough to push the oval this far north. Outside this window, there is insufficient darkness for aurora to be visible.

Activity peaks around the March and September equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. These windows produce the strongest aurora australis events of the year for observers at this latitude.

Outside May through July, twilight prevents aurora visibility even during significant geomagnetic storms. The season is short, but equinox months on either side of winter can extend it when timing is favourable.

Up to 8 locations

Launceston

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5-6
Checking darkness…
Hobart

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5-6
Checking darkness…
Falls Creek

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 6-7
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Launceston?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Launceston's threshold of 5+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

1.2Jan
1.3Feb
1.6Mar
1.4Apr
1.2May
1Jun
1.2Jul
1.4Aug
1.5Sep
1.5Oct
1.2Nov
1.1Dec

Counts the Kp 5+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Launceston

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
1.6
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
2nd
September
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
October
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The August to October window averages 4 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

Aurora at this latitude requires patience - allow as many nights as possible during March.

Aurora activity peaks at the March and September equinoxes in both hemispheres. This is driven by the angle of Earth's magnetic field relative to the solar wind, not by local seasons. Winter months at this latitude offer longer dark nights for observing, but March and September average the highest number of aurora nights in the historical data.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Launceston

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over Launceston Aurora over Launceston
Aurora over Launceston Aurora over Launceston
Aurora over Launceston Aurora over Launceston
Aurora over Launceston Aurora over Launceston
Aurora over Launceston Aurora over Launceston
Aurora over Launceston Aurora over Launceston
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Launceston

Can you see aurora australis from Launceston?
Yes, during moderate geomagnetic storms. Launceston at 52°S magnetic latitude needs Kp 5-6 from dark sites on the east coast or at Ben Lomond. The east coast beaches around Bay of Fires and Bicheno give south-facing ocean views with minimal light pollution. Aurora australis has been seen from Launceston area sites during G2 storms, particularly from the elevated Ben Lomond plateau.
What Kp is needed for aurora in Launceston?
Kp 5 from the Ben Lomond plateau or the east coast beaches. Kp 6 for aurora visible from the Launceston valley floor or suburban areas. At 52°S magnetic latitude, Launceston is slightly further from the auroral oval than Hobart. G2 storms (Kp 5-6) are the practical target. Hobart's Cockle Creek and South Arm are slightly better positioned, but Launceston's Ben Lomond gives a compelling elevated alternative.
Is Ben Lomond good for aurora watching?
Yes. At 1500 m elevation, the Ben Lomond plateau sits above the valley haze and light scatter from Launceston. The open dolerite plateau faces south with unobstructed sky. The elevation gives cleaner, drier air than the valley floor. The road to the summit area is accessible in summer and autumn without a 4WD. In winter, chains may be required. The drive takes about 90 minutes from Launceston central.
When is the best time for aurora in Launceston?
June to August for longest dark nights. Northern Tasmania has adequate darkness from May to September. The September equinox is statistically the most geomagnetically active period. The east coast of Tasmania is generally drier and clearer than the west coast - Aurora watching from Bay of Fires or Bicheno in autumn (March-May) and late winter (August-September) often gives good clear-sky windows.
How does Launceston compare to Hobart for aurora watching?
Hobart has a lower threshold (Kp 5 vs Kp 5-6) and better south-facing dark sky sites including Cockle Creek. Launceston's advantage is Ben Lomond - an elevated plateau that Hobart lacks within easy reach. For visitors based in Launceston, the east coast beaches and Ben Lomond are practical first choices. For the best aurora access in Tasmania, Hobart remains the priority destination.
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