Live aurora forecast

Aurora australis in Dunedin tonight

Otago, New Zealand · 53° magnetic latitude · Kp 4-5 threshold

Aurora visibility · Dunedin
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 4-5 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Dunedin.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 4-5
Magnetic latitude
~53°S
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 26 Sept, 03:15 UTC

7-day outlook for Dunedin

Tonight shows the live Kp reading. The nights after it show the Kp expected from any coronal mass ejection DONKI predicts will arrive that day, and a quiet baseline of Kp 2 where no arrival is forecast.

Today
26 Sept
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
27 Sept
2
Quiet
Mon
28 Sept
2
Quiet
Tue
29 Sept
2
Quiet
Wed
30 Sept
2
Quiet
Thu
1 Oct
2
Quiet
Fri
2 Oct
2
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Dunedin sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 53°S. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 4-5 before the auroral oval expands far enough north to be visible from here.

At Kp 4-5, visibility is possible from Dunedin but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Dunedin

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark southern horizon within reach.

Sandfly Bay (Otago Peninsula)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 35 km from Dunedin - approximately 40 minute drive

A south-facing bay on the outer Otago Peninsula, 35 km from Dunedin central. The beach faces south-southeast across open Pacific with no land between it and Antarctica in that direction. Properly dark - the walk in from the car park takes 20 minutes across sand dunes. One of the most accessible extreme dark sky positions in the South Island. The Royal Albatross Centre at Taiaroa Head is 5 km away and similarly dark.

Taiaroa Head (Otago Peninsula tip)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 45 km from Dunedin - approximately 45 minute drive

The tip of the Otago Peninsula at the entrance to Otago Harbour. Faces south and southeast across open ocean. The Royal Albatross Centre car park is accessible year-round. The lighthouse and headland give an elevated position above the harbour entrance. Light pollution from Dunedin city is behind you when facing south from the head. 45 km from Dunedin central.

Tomahawk Beach / St Clair area

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 5 - Suburban/rural transition 5 km from Dunedin - approximately 10 minute drive

The Dunedin ocean beach suburb of St Clair faces southeast. The beach itself gives an open ocean horizon. Light pollution from Dunedin is visible to the north and west but the southern horizon is dark. Within 5 km of the city centre - the most accessible option for Dunedin residents during a brief aurora window. At Kp 5+, this position is usable for low aurora on the southern horizon.

When to go

Best time to see the aurora australis in Dunedin

At 53°S magnetic latitude, Dunedin sits at the outer edge of regular aurora australis territory. Only the southern winter months, May through July, occasionally bring storms powerful enough to push the oval this far north. Outside this window, there is insufficient darkness for aurora to be visible.

Activity peaks around the March and September equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. These windows produce the strongest aurora australis events of the year for observers at this latitude.

Outside May through July, twilight prevents aurora visibility even during significant geomagnetic storms. The season is short, but equinox months on either side of winter can extend it when timing is favourable.

Up to 8 locations

Dunedin

New Zealand

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 4-5
Checking darkness…
Stewart Island

New Zealand

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 3
Checking darkness…
Queenstown

New Zealand

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Dunedin?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Dunedin's threshold of 5+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0.9Jan
2.1Feb
3.3Mar
2.5Apr
2.7May
2Jun
1.5Jul
2.5Aug
3.6Sep
2.6Oct
1.9Nov
1.1Dec

Counts the Kp 5+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Dunedin

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
September
3.6
avg aurora nights
Stay 13+ nights for 80% chance
2nd
March
3.3
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
May
2.7
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The August to October window averages 9 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

For your best chance in September, plan at least 13 nights.

Aurora activity peaks at the March and September equinoxes in both hemispheres. This is driven by the angle of Earth's magnetic field relative to the solar wind, not by local seasons. Winter months at this latitude offer longer dark nights for observing, but March and September average the highest number of aurora nights in the historical data.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Dunedin

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over DunedinAurora over Dunedin
Aurora over DunedinAurora over Dunedin
Aurora over DunedinAurora over Dunedin
Aurora over DunedinAurora over Dunedin
Aurora over DunedinAurora over Dunedin
Aurora over DunedinAurora over Dunedin
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Dunedin

Can you see aurora australis in Dunedin?
Yes, during moderate to strong geomagnetic storms. Dunedin at 53°S magnetic latitude needs Kp 4-5 from the Otago Peninsula coast. Sandfly Bay and Taiaroa Head give south-facing ocean horizons with minimal light pollution. The St Clair beach suburb gives a more accessible but less dark option from within the city. Aurora australis has been photographed from Dunedin several times during solar maximum years.
What is the best dark sky site near Dunedin for aurora?
Sandfly Bay on the outer Otago Peninsula. The south-facing beach has an unobstructed ocean horizon facing toward Antarctica with Bortle 2-3 skies. Drive to the Sandfly Bay car park off Seal Point Road (35 km, 40 minutes from Dunedin) and walk 20 minutes over the sand dunes to the beach. Taiaroa Head at the peninsula tip is another strong option and accessible by car. Both are significantly better than any in-city position.
What Kp is needed for aurora australis in Dunedin?
Kp 5 from the outer Otago Peninsula (Sandfly Bay, Taiaroa Head). Kp 5 for anything visible from St Clair or the city beaches. At 53°S magnetic latitude, Dunedin and Queenstown sit at comparable latitudes to northern Iceland or southern Norway. G1-G2 storms (Kp 5-6) bring aurora australis to this latitude regularly during solar maximum.
When is the best season for aurora in Dunedin?
June to August for longest dark nights. Dunedin has 14 hours of darkness in mid-winter. The September equinox period (late August through September) is statistically more geomagnetically active due to the Russell-McPherron effect and also brings increasing darkness. Aurora viewing is productive from May through September. Summer (December-February) has nights too short at 46°S geographic latitude.
How does Dunedin compare to Queenstown for aurora watching?
Both sit at about 53°S magnetic latitude and need Kp 5. The key difference is terrain. Dunedin has direct ocean access on the Otago Peninsula - south-facing beaches with unobstructed horizons over open Pacific. Queenstown faces the Remarkables and Eyre Mountains to the south, giving darker inland skies but no open water horizon. For low-elevation aurora on the southern horizon, Dunedin's coast is the better position. Queenstown's mountain foreground suits aurora photography.
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