Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Bairnsdale tonight

East Gippsland, Victoria, Australia · 46° magnetic latitude · Kp 5-6 threshold

Aurora visibility · Bairnsdale
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 5-6 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Bairnsdale.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 5-6
Magnetic latitude
~46°S
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 12 Jul, 22:55 UTC

7-day outlook for Bairnsdale

Today
12 Jul
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
13 Jul
3
Quiet
Tue
14 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
15 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
16 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
17 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
18 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Bairnsdale sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 46°S. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 5-6 before the auroral oval expands far enough north to be visible from here.

At Kp 5-6, visibility is possible from Bairnsdale but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Bairnsdale

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark southern horizon within reach.

Cape Conran Coastal Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky 90 km east of Bairnsdale - approximately 75 minute drive

A low-key coastal park on the East Gippsland coast with beaches facing south over Bass Strait. The park has a campsite and is dark at night - no town within 30 km. The beach faces south-southeast with a clear ocean horizon. Banksia woodland behind the beach absorbs ambient light from inland. At Kp 5-6, aurora australis appears south of due south from the beach. The drive east from Bairnsdale follows the Princes Highway then turns south to the coast. One of the more accessible dark sky positions on the East Gippsland coast with good foreground options using the beach and low headland.

Mallacoota

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky 200 km east of Bairnsdale - approximately 2 hour drive

A small coastal town at the edge of Croajingolong National Park. Mallacoota faces south over the inlet and beyond to Bass Strait. The town has minimal lighting and is surrounded by national park. Position south of the inlet on the ocean beach or at Tip Beach for direct south-facing views. Bortle Class 2-3 conditions on the oceanside beaches. Mallacoota is one of Victoria's most isolated coastal towns - the sense of remoteness translates to genuinely dark sky. Accommodation exists but is limited; book in advance during storm events that draw aurora chasers.

Croajingolong National Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 130-200 km east of Bairnsdale

A UNESCO biosphere reserve stretching 100 km along the East Gippsland coast. The park includes Point Hicks, Thurra River, and Mueller Inlet beaches facing south over Bass Strait. Bortle Class 2 conditions in the more remote sections. Point Hicks has a lighthouse and a south-facing beach with no towns visible in any direction. The park is best accessed via Cann River off the Princes Highway. The most remote positions require 4WD or a walk. Croajingolong is widely regarded as one of the darkest accessible areas in Victoria - equivalent to some Tasmanian dark sky positions for sky quality.

When to go

Best time to see the aurora australis in Bairnsdale

At 46°S magnetic latitude, Bairnsdale sits at the outer edge of regular aurora australis territory. Only the southern winter months, May through July, occasionally bring storms powerful enough to push the oval this far north. Outside this window, there is insufficient darkness for aurora to be visible.

Activity peaks around the March and September equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. These windows produce the strongest aurora australis events of the year for observers at this latitude.

Outside May through July, twilight prevents aurora visibility even during significant geomagnetic storms. The season is short, but equinox months on either side of winter can extend it when timing is favourable.

Up to 8 locations

Bairnsdale

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5-6
Checking darkness…
Melbourne

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 7-8
Checking darkness…
Tasmania

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Bairnsdale?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Bairnsdale's threshold of 5+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

1.2Jan
1.3Feb
1.6Mar
1.4Apr
1.2May
1Jun
1.2Jul
1.4Aug
1.5Sep
1.5Oct
1.2Nov
1.1Dec

Counts the Kp 5+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Bairnsdale

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
1.6
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
2nd
September
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
October
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The August to October window averages 4 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

Aurora at this latitude requires patience - allow as many nights as possible during March.

Aurora activity peaks at the March and September equinoxes in both hemispheres. This is driven by the angle of Earth's magnetic field relative to the solar wind, not by local seasons. Winter months at this latitude offer longer dark nights for observing, but March and September average the highest number of aurora nights in the historical data.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Bairnsdale

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over BairnsdaleAurora over Bairnsdale
Aurora over BairnsdaleAurora over Bairnsdale
Aurora over BairnsdaleAurora over Bairnsdale
Aurora over BairnsdaleAurora over Bairnsdale
Aurora over BairnsdaleAurora over Bairnsdale
Aurora over BairnsdaleAurora over Bairnsdale
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Bairnsdale

Can you see aurora australis from Bairnsdale?
Yes. Bairnsdale is the practical base for East Gippsland - one of Victoria's best aurora regions. At 46°S magnetic latitude, Kp 5-6 is needed. The dark sky assets are east of Bairnsdale: Cape Conran Coastal Park (90 km), Mallacoota (200 km), and the remote beaches of Croajingolong National Park. Croajingolong reaches Bortle Class 2 - comparable to Tasmanian dark sky sites in terms of sky darkness. Aurora australis has been photographed from East Gippsland during G2-G3 storms.
What Kp is needed for aurora in East Gippsland?
Kp 5-6 from Cape Conran and Mallacoota; Kp 5 may be detectable on camera from the darkest Croajingolong positions during high solar activity. At 46°S magnetic latitude, East Gippsland sits in a similar position to Ballarat and other central Victorian locations, but the coastal exposure and lower light pollution give a practical advantage. During G2-G3 storms (Kp 5-7), aurora australis appears south of the horizon from Bass Strait-facing beaches.
Where are the best dark sky sites near Bairnsdale?
Croajingolong National Park (130-200 km east) has the darkest sky - Bortle Class 2 at Point Hicks and Thurra River. Mallacoota (200 km east) is dark and has basic accommodation. Cape Conran Coastal Park (90 km east) is the most accessible, with sealed road access and a campsite. All three face south across Bass Strait. The key difference from most Victoria locations is the absence of major cities to the south - Bairnsdale's east coast position puts Melbourne's light dome behind you.
When is the best time for aurora in Bairnsdale?
May to August for the longest dark nights. Bairnsdale at 37.8°S geographic has around 13 hours of darkness in mid-winter. The September equinox is statistically the most active geomagnetic period. East Gippsland has variable cloud cover - check forecasts before the drive. The coast can be clearer than inland in some weather patterns. Plan for at least one or two nights to account for cloud.
How does East Gippsland compare to the rest of Victoria for aurora?
East Gippsland is the best-positioned region in Victoria for aurora australis, primarily because of the dark sky. Croajingolong National Park reaches Bortle Class 2 - better than the Twelve Apostles area (Bortle Class 3) or Wilson's Promontory (Bortle Class 2 at the tip, but a longer drive). The magnetic latitude is similar across southern Victoria, so the sky darkness becomes the differentiator. For regular aurora watching in Victoria, Croajingolong and Mallacoota are the priority.
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