Space weather explained

Northern lights scale — G scale and Kp index explained

Aurora forecasts use two overlapping scales: the Kp index (0-9) and NOAA's G scale (G1-G5). Both measure the same geomagnetic disturbance. Knowing how they relate to each other makes aurora forecasts straightforward to read.

Two scales, one phenomenon

People often encounter both "Kp 5" and "G1 storm" in aurora forecasts and wonder what the difference is. Both describe the same thing: the intensity of geomagnetic disturbance caused by the solar wind interacting with Earth's magnetosphere. The Kp index is the scientific measure; the G scale is NOAA's simplified public communication tool introduced in 1999.

The relationship is direct. G1 = Kp 5. G2 = Kp 6. G3 = Kp 7. G4 = Kp 8. G5 = Kp 9. Below Kp 5 there is no geomagnetic storm by NOAA's definition - that is G0, the background state. The G scale exists because "G1 minor storm" communicates severity better to the public than "Kp 5" does on its own.

For aurora watching, understanding both scales removes any ambiguity when reading forecasts, news reports, or space weather alerts. News headlines tend to use the G scale. Forecast tools and scientific sources use Kp. Knowing that they map directly to each other means neither causes confusion.

The Kp index (0-9)

The Kp index - planetarische Kennziffer, or planetary index - measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a scale of 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm). It is calculated every three hours from magnetometer readings at 13 observatories positioned between 44-60°N magnetic latitude. Each station measures the deviation of its local field from the quiet-day baseline; these are averaged and converted to the global Kp value.

The scale is logarithmic, not linear. A jump from Kp 5 to Kp 7 is not twice as strong - it represents roughly 10 times the field disturbance. This is why aurora expands so dramatically southward during high-Kp events: the relationship between Kp and auroral oval latitude is non-linear, with disproportionately large expansion at the top of the scale.

The full Kp guide covers how the index is calculated and its limitations as a forecasting tool. The forecast page shows the current live Kp reading updated every 30 minutes.

The G scale (G1-G5)

NOAA's Geomagnetic Storm scale runs from G1 (minor) to G5 (extreme). Each level corresponds to a specific Kp threshold and has a defined set of impacts on aurora visibility, power systems, and communications infrastructure.

G1 — Minor storm Kp 5

Aurora: Aurora visible above roughly 60°N. Northern Scotland and the Faroes have a genuine chance from dark sites. Shetland is well-placed.

Other impacts: Weak power grid fluctuations at high latitudes. Minor satellite orientation effects.

G2 — Moderate storm Kp 6

Aurora: Aurora above roughly 55°N. Northern England, all of Scotland, southern Scotland, Denmark, the Baltic states, and southern Norway.

Other impacts: High-latitude power systems can be affected. HF radio propagation degraded in polar regions.

G3 — Strong storm Kp 7

Aurora: Aurora above roughly 50°N. All of England, the Netherlands, Poland, northern France, and northern US states from the Great Lakes upward.

Other impacts: Possible HF radio blackouts on the sunlit side. Satellite drag increases. Surface charging on spacecraft.

G4 — Severe storm Kp 8

Aurora: Aurora above roughly 45°N. Spain, central France, Germany, Romania, and the Great Lakes area of the USA.

Other impacts: Widespread power grid problems possible. Pipeline currents accelerate corrosion. Satellite navigation errors increase significantly. Rare - a few per solar cycle.

G5 — Extreme storm Kp 9

Aurora: Aurora above roughly 40°N. Southern Europe, southern USA, New Zealand's North Island. Red aurora visible at middle latitudes.

Other impacts: Major power grid failures possible. Widespread HF radio blackouts. Complete loss of satellite navigation. Fewer than four events per 11-year cycle on average.

Which scale should you use?

For personal aurora watching, Kp is more useful because it is more granular. The difference between Kp 4 and Kp 5 matters enormously for viewers in northern England or southern Scotland - both fall within the broad band around G1, but only Kp 5 actually constitutes a storm and reliably reaches those latitudes. The G scale compresses five separate storm levels into a range that starts at Kp 5, so anyone at 55-60°N benefits from tracking the full 0-9 scale rather than waiting for a G-scale label.

Use the G scale when reading news reports about geomagnetic events or when explaining storm severity to someone unfamiliar with space weather. "G2 storm" means something immediately to a general audience in a way that "Kp 6" does not.

Use Kp when deciding whether to go out tonight. Check your location's Kp threshold on the locations page, compare it to the current and forecast Kp on the forecast page, and make the call.

The Bz context - what drives the scale

Both the G scale and Kp measure effect, not cause. A Kp 7 (G3) storm happens because the Bz component of the solar wind turned strongly negative - typically below -15 to -20 nT - for a sustained period. Negative Bz means the interplanetary magnetic field is oriented southward, matching Earth's polar field lines. This alignment allows energetic particles to flow along those lines down into the upper atmosphere at the poles, producing aurora.

The G/Kp reading tells you what happened to Earth's field over the past three hours. Bz tells you why it happened and, crucially, whether it is continuing. A Kp 6 reading from three hours ago combined with a current Bz of +5 nT means the storm is fading. The same Kp 6 combined with a current Bz of -20 nT and falling means it is intensifying.

The Bz guide explains the mechanism in full and shows which thresholds produce which storm levels.

Real examples

The G5 storm of 10-11 May 2024 is the benchmark event of the current solar cycle. Kp reached 9 - the maximum on the scale - for the first time since the Halloween storms of October 2003. Aurora was photographed from Spain, Mexico, Florida, and New Zealand's North Island. Red aurora, caused by oxygen atoms at 200-300 km altitude energised by the extreme particle flux, appeared across the entire UK including London. The event produced naked-eye aurora in locations that had not seen it in two decades.

A G2 event (Kp 6) in early 2026 produced a more typical strong-storm scenario. Aurora was visible across northern England and all of Scotland on a single clear night, with green bands photographed from the Yorkshire Dales and Peak District. These events - strong enough for naked-eye viewing from dark sites in northern England, too weak to reach the south - are the bread-and-butter of UK aurora watching during solar maximum.

The solar maximum guide explains why storm frequency has been unusually high since 2024 and what to expect through the rest of the cycle.

Current Kp and storm status

The forecast page shows the live Kp reading, current storm status on the G scale, and the OVATION aurora oval map. The 7-day outlook shows upcoming elevated-Kp windows from NASA DONKI CME predictions, letting you plan ahead for the most active nights.

For location-specific thresholds and visibility assessments, each of these pages lists all locations that reach aurora visibility at the corresponding Kp level:

Common questions

More detail on the G scale, Kp index, and what each level means for aurora visibility.

What is the difference between Kp 5 and G1?
They describe the same minimum storm threshold. G1 corresponds to Kp 5 exactly. Below Kp 5, there is no geomagnetic storm by NOAA's definition. The G scale only begins at G1/Kp 5. For aurora watching, the Kp value is more useful because it lets you distinguish between Kp 5 (just reached the threshold) and Kp 6 (a notably stronger storm).
What Kp was the May 2024 aurora?
The geomagnetic storm of 10-11 May 2024 reached Kp 9 (G5), the highest level on the scale. It was the strongest storm since the Halloween storms of October 2003 and produced aurora visible across the entire northern hemisphere including southern Europe, Mexico, and the southern United States.
What does a G2 storm mean for aurora watching?
A G2 storm (Kp 6) produces aurora visible above roughly 55°N from dark sites. In the UK that means all of Scotland and northern England have a good chance. Denmark, the Baltic states, and southern Norway are also well-placed. G2 events happen several times per year during solar maximum.
Is Kp 4 enough to see the northern lights?
Kp 4 produces aurora visible above around 59°N, which includes southern Norway, most of Scotland, and southern Finland. From the Scottish Highlands or Shetland, Kp 4 is often enough for a visible display on a clear, dark night. Below 59°N geographic, Kp 4 usually does not produce visible aurora.
How often does the Kp reach 5 or above?
During solar maximum (2024-2026), Kp 5 events occur roughly once or twice per month. Kp 6 events occur several times per year. Kp 7 or above happens a handful of times per year at solar maximum. Kp 9 (G5) is rare - fewer than four times per 11-year solar cycle on average.

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