Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Sapporo tonight

Hokkaido, Japan · 37° magnetic latitude · Kp 8-9 threshold

Aurora visibility · Sapporo
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 8-9 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Sapporo.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 8-9
Magnetic latitude
~37°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 29 Jun, 23:00 UTC

7-day outlook for Sapporo

Today
29 Jun
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
30 Jun
3
Quiet
Wed
1 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
2 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
3 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
4 Jul
3
Quiet
Sun
5 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Sapporo sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 37°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 8-9, visibility is possible from Sapporo but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Sapporo

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Bortle Class 4-5 - Suburban/rural transition 30 km from Sapporo - approximately 40 minute drive

A hot spring resort valley 30 km south of Sapporo on Route 230. The valley is cut into the Hokkaido uplands with mountain ridges blocking city light from Sapporo to the north. Hot spring hotels operate year-round, giving access to the valley at night. The river corridor faces north with an open sky above the canyon walls.

Shikotsu-Toya National Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky 70 km from Sapporo - approximately 70 minute drive

60-80 km southwest of Sapporo, centered on two volcanic caldera lakes - Shikotsu and Toya. The lakeshores face open water with minimal light pollution. Lake Shikotsu's north shore gives north-facing sky across the lake toward the mountains. The park operates year-round with accommodation at Shikotsu-ko Onsen.

Bortle Class 3-4 - Rural sky, good dark sky 60 km from Sapporo - approximately 60 minute drive

A ski resort area on the Shiribeshi plateau, 60 km west of Sapporo on the Hokkaido Expressway. Elevation at 300-900 m reduces atmospheric absorption. The plateau sits above the coastal plain, which means Sapporo's light dome is below the horizon to the east. North-facing slopes give open sky.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Sapporo

At 37°N magnetic latitude, Sapporo sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Sapporo's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Sapporo

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Abashiri

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Wakkanai

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 7-8
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Sapporo?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Sapporo's threshold of 8+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0Jan
0Feb
0Mar
0Apr
0May
0Jun
0Jul
0Aug
0Sep
0Oct
0Nov
0Dec

Counts the Kp 8+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Sapporo

Aurora is rare at this latitude - conditions require Kp 8+. No month reaches a meaningful average.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Sapporo

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over Sapporo Aurora over Sapporo
Aurora over Sapporo Aurora over Sapporo
Aurora over Sapporo Aurora over Sapporo
Aurora over Sapporo Aurora over Sapporo
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Sapporo

Can you see aurora from Sapporo?
Only during a major geomagnetic storm. Sapporo sits at about 43°N geographic latitude but only around 37° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what actually decides where the aurora reaches. That gap is why the northern lights here need a major storm, not the routine activity that lights up Norway or Alaska. In practice the Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach 8-9, a G4-G5 storm. The May 2024 G5 storm produced aurora photographs from Sapporo. What you get is red aurora low on the northern horizon, often easier to capture on a long-exposure camera than to see by eye. This is not reliable overhead aurora.
What Kp is needed for aurora in Sapporo?
Kp 8-9 from dark sites outside the city. Kp is a 3-hour global average, so the threshold being reached means it is worth checking the northern horizon, not that aurora is guaranteed at any one spot. Light pollution within Sapporo pushes the effective threshold higher still, so the urban area itself is poor for anything but the strongest storms. Jozankei and Shikotsu-Toya National Park are the practical positions, both within 30-80 km of the city.
How often does aurora occur near Sapporo?
Rarely. At around 37° geomagnetic latitude it takes a G4-G5 storm, and storms that strong arrive only a handful of times even during an active solar period. The May 2024 G5 event is the clear recent example. Monitoring NOAA space weather alerts during a trip and having dark sites identified in advance is the practical strategy. Treat any sighting as a bonus, not a plan you can rely on.
Is Sapporo a good base for aurora in Hokkaido?
Yes, for logistics. Sapporo has the best transport connections and accommodation on the island, with Jozankei 30 minutes away by car and Wakkanai 5-6 hours by train or 4 hours by car. Wakkanai and the far northern islands sit a little higher in geomagnetic terms (Kp 7-8) and give marginally better odds. Using Sapporo as a base and moving north during a forecast major storm is a workable strategy for visitors spending several nights in Hokkaido.
Should you combine Sapporo skiing with aurora watching?
The ski season and aurora season overlap well from November to March, but keep expectations honest: aurora here needs a G4-G5 storm and those are rare. Many ski resort areas including Rusutsu and Niseko sit on elevated terrain with a clearer northern horizon than the city. The practical approach is to monitor the space weather forecast during the ski trip and take a night drive to Jozankei or higher ground if a major storm is predicted.
Photograph the aurora

Recommended gear

Tested picks for capturing the aurora on long, cold nights.

As an Amazon Associate, Aurora Tonight earns from qualifying purchases. Affiliate links never influence the forecast or which gear is recommended.

Aurora Tonight

Aurora Tonight

Add to your home screen for instant aurora alerts

Add to your home screen

Tap then Add to Home Screen for instant aurora alerts