Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Mayo tonight

County Mayo, Ireland · 54° magnetic latitude · Kp 4–5 threshold

Aurora visibility · Mayo
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 4–5 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Mayo.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 4–5
Magnetic latitude
~54°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 29 Jun, 21:40 UTC

7-day outlook for Mayo

Today
29 Jun
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
30 Jun
3
Unlikely
Wed
1 Jul
3
Unlikely
Thu
2 Jul
3
Unlikely
Fri
3 Jul
3
Unlikely
Sat
4 Jul
3
Unlikely
Sun
5 Jul
3
Unlikely

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

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What Kp is needed here?

Mayo sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 54°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 4–5 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 4–5, visibility is possible from Mayo but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Mayo

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Keem Bay, Achill Island

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1-2 - Excellent dark sky 75 km from Castlebar - approximately 75 minute drive

Keem Bay sits at the far western end of Achill Island, reachable only by a single-track road that climbs over Minaun Heights before descending to the bay. The road ends at a small beach car park. The bay faces west and north across open Atlantic water with no artificial light visible in any direction except the faint glow of Achill village far behind. It is one of the most genuinely dark accessible sites in Ireland.

Mullet Peninsula

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1-2 - Excellent dark sky 65 km from Castlebar - approximately 60 minute drive

The Mullet Peninsula extends north from Belmullet into the North Atlantic, with open water on three sides. From the tip at Erris Head the horizon spans roughly 270 degrees of open ocean. Population on the peninsula is sparse and there are no towns to the north or west to produce competing light. The flat terrain gives unobstructed sky views from close to sea level. It is among the least light-polluted peninsulas in Ireland.

Ballycroy National Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1-2 - Excellent dark sky 45 km from Castlebar - approximately 45 minute drive

Ballycroy is Ireland's largest uninhabited area, covering 11,000 hectares of Atlantic blanket bog on the Mayo coast between Achill and Bangor Erris. There are no settlements within the park. The open bogland gives wide sky views with an uninterrupted northern horizon. The park is accessible from the N59 near Ballycroy village. Light pollution readings here are comparable to Scotland's darkest upland areas.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Mayo

Mayo's aurora season runs from late September through to March, when nights are long enough for truly dark skies. The equinox months, September and March, bring a natural boost in geomagnetic activity, making them statistically the best of the season. Summer months bring too much twilight for aurora to be visible at this latitude.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Mayo's latitude.

April through August brings persistent astronomical twilight that washes out aurora completely. Even strong events (Kp 6+) remain invisible during this period because the sky never gets dark enough.

Up to 8 locations

Mayo

Ireland

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 4-5
Checking darkness…
Donegal

Ireland

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5
Checking darkness…
Galway

Ireland

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 6-7
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Mayo?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Mayo's threshold of 4+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

3.9Jan
4.2Feb
5.2Mar
4.7Apr
1.6May
0Jun
0Jul
4.7Aug
5Sep
4.8Oct
3.9Nov
3.5Dec

Counts the Kp 4+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Mayo

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
5.2
avg aurora nights
Stay 9+ nights for 80% chance
2nd
September
5.0
avg aurora nights
Stay 9+ nights for 80% chance
3rd
October
4.8
avg aurora nights
Stay 10+ nights for 80% chance

Best window

The August to October window averages 15 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

For your best chance in March, plan at least 9 nights.

Questions

Common questions about aurora in Mayo

Can you see the northern lights in Mayo?
Yes. Mayo is one of Ireland's most aurora-favourable counties. At approximately 54°N magnetic latitude, it sits one step below Donegal in the aurora hierarchy but well above the south and east of Ireland. Kp 4-5 is needed from Achill Island and the Mullet Peninsula. The Kp index is a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours. During G2 storms, aurora is regularly observed from Mayo's north-west coast.
How does Mayo compare to Donegal for aurora?
Donegal at 55°N magnetic latitude has a slight edge - the auroral oval reaches it slightly more often, and the aurora sits higher in the sky during active periods. Mayo at 54°N is the next best option, with similar sky darkness and an equally wide Atlantic horizon. The difference in practice is small: the same G2 storm that produces aurora from Malin Head in Donegal will also produce it from Keem Bay in Mayo. Both counties share a similar ocean-facing, low-population-density coastline.
What Kp is needed to see aurora in Mayo?
Kp 4-5 from the darkest coastal sites. The Kp index is a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours. At 54°N magnetic latitude, Kp 4 can occasionally be enough during sub-storm enhancements that briefly push the auroral oval south, but sustained Kp 5 is a more reliable threshold. From Keem Bay and the Mullet Peninsula, the low light pollution means even a faint display is detectable with a camera. From Ballina or Castlebar, Kp 6 would be needed.
Is Achill Island a good place to see aurora?
Yes. Keem Bay at the far end of Achill Island is one of Ireland's strongest aurora sites. The bay faces west and north with no light pollution in those directions, and road access ends at the beach car park - you cannot drive further, which keeps visitor numbers low. The single-track road over Minaun Heights can be treacherous in ice, so winter visits require care. The bay itself gives a genuine dark sky experience. Achill Sound and Achill village are much brighter and not suitable as aurora sites.
How dark are Mayo's skies compared to other Irish counties?
Mayo has some of Ireland's lowest light pollution. Ballycroy National Park records sky darkness on a par with Scotland's darkest upland areas - well below the threshold for seeing the Milky Way with the naked eye. The Mullet Peninsula and outer Achill are in a similar category. The main sources of artificial light in the county are Westport, Castlebar, and Ballina, all of which are far enough from the coastal aurora sites to have little impact. Only parts of Donegal and west Kerry match Mayo's overall sky quality.
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