Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Sudbury tonight

Northern Ontario, Canada · 55° magnetic latitude · Kp 5 threshold

Aurora visibility · Sudbury
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 5 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Sudbury.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 5
Magnetic latitude
~55°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 29 Jun, 21:44 UTC

7-day outlook for Sudbury

Today
29 Jun
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
30 Jun
3
Quiet
Wed
1 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
2 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
3 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
4 Jul
3
Quiet
Sun
5 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

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What Kp is needed here?

Sudbury sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 55°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 5 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 5, visibility is possible from Sudbury but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Sudbury

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Killarney Provincial Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 190 km from Sudbury - approximately 3 hour drive

3 hours south of Sudbury on the Georgian Bay shore, widely considered one of Ontario's most spectacular parks. The white quartzite ridges and lake-dotted terrain give exceptional dark sky. Bortle 2-3 conditions at the interior campsites. The park is accessible by car via Killarney town; canoe camping extends further into the interior.

Fairbank Provincial Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky, good dark sky 35 km from Sudbury - approximately 30 minute drive

30 minutes north of Sudbury on Highway 144, a small boreal lake park with campsite access and north-facing shoreline. Significantly darker than the city without needing a long drive. The lake gives open north sky above the treeline. A practical option for evening aurora checks when a Kp 5 storm develops.

Onaping Falls

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky, good dark sky 40 km from Sudbury - approximately 40 minute drive

40 minutes northwest of Sudbury on Highway 144, where the Onaping River drops through a boreal gorge. The riverside positions face north with no significant settlements in that direction. The falls area is accessible year-round and the rock outcrops above the gorge give clear sky.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Sudbury

At 55°N magnetic latitude, Sudbury sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Sudbury's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Sudbury

Canada

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 5
Checking darkness…
Thunder Bay

Canada

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 3-4
Checking darkness…
Winnipeg

Canada

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 3
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Sudbury?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Sudbury's threshold of 5+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

1.2Jan
1.3Feb
1.6Mar
1.4Apr
1.2May
1Jun
1.2Jul
1.4Aug
1.5Sep
1.5Oct
1.2Nov
1.1Dec

Counts the Kp 5+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Sudbury

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
1.6
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
2nd
September
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
October
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The August to October window averages 4 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

Aurora at this latitude requires patience - allow as many nights as possible during March.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Sudbury

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over Sudbury Aurora over Sudbury
Aurora over Sudbury Aurora over Sudbury
Aurora over Sudbury Aurora over Sudbury
Aurora over Sudbury Aurora over Sudbury
Aurora over Sudbury Aurora over Sudbury
Aurora over Sudbury Aurora over Sudbury
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Sudbury

Can you see the northern lights from Sudbury?
Yes, during stronger storms. Sudbury sits at about 55° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what governs where aurora reaches - in northern Ontario. Sudbury is at roughly 46.5°N on the map, but because the geomagnetic pole sits over northern Canada it lies several degrees higher in geomagnetic terms, so aurora reaches it more often than its map latitude suggests. The Kp index, a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm) updated every 3 hours, needs to reach 5 from dark sites north of the city. At solar maximum, that level is reached on a handful of nights per year. The boreal rock-and-lake terrain around Sudbury provides meaningful dark sky within 30-40 minutes of the city centre.
How often is aurora visible from Sudbury?
During solar maximum, the Kp 5 threshold is met on a handful of nights per year. Sudbury's northern Ontario position and continental climate produce clearer skies than eastern coastal cities. Residents who monitor the Kp index and get out of the city when a storm hits do catch aurora across a season. Killarney Provincial Park, three hours south on Georgian Bay, is one of Ontario's finest dark sky positions for longer excursions.
What makes Sudbury good for aurora?
The primary factor is geomagnetic latitude. At about 55° geomagnetic, Sudbury sits higher than its map position of 46.5°N would suggest, because the geomagnetic pole sits over northern Canada. Boreal forest extends in all directions from the urban area, meaning dark sky is accessible with a short drive. Killarney Provincial Park gives Bortle 2-3 conditions - among the darkest skies within reach of any large Ontario city. The combination of a relatively high geomagnetic latitude and accessible dark sky is useful at this distance from the auroral oval, though it still takes a Kp 5 storm to bring aurora into view.
How does Sudbury compare to Thunder Bay for aurora?
Thunder Bay has the higher geomagnetic latitude - about 57° versus Sudbury's 55° - giving it a lower Kp threshold, so it sees aurora on more nights. Thunder Bay also has the advantage of Lake Superior's dark northern water horizon, which gives an unobstructed view of low-elevation aurora that an inland site cannot replicate. Sudbury's advantage is Killarney Provincial Park - a premium dark sky site with no equivalent near Thunder Bay - though aurora at Sudbury needs a Kp 5 storm rather than the Kp 3 that reaches Thunder Bay.
When is the best time for aurora in Sudbury?
August to April. The sky becomes dark enough from mid-August. March and September are the strongest months geomagnetically - the equinoxes consistently produce elevated activity across the solar cycle. Autumn tends to give the best combination of clear skies and geomagnetic activity. Winter months offer long dark nights but cloud cover increases through December and January in northern Ontario.
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