Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Abashiri tonight

Northeastern Hokkaido, Japan · 37° magnetic latitude · Kp 8-9 threshold

Aurora visibility · Abashiri
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 8-9 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Abashiri.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 8-9
Magnetic latitude
~37°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 29 Jun, 21:44 UTC

7-day outlook for Abashiri

Today
29 Jun
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
30 Jun
3
Quiet
Wed
1 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
2 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
3 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
4 Jul
3
Quiet
Sun
5 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Abashiri sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 37°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 8-9, visibility is possible from Abashiri but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Abashiri

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Lake Abashiri

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3-4 - Rural sky, good dark sky 5 km from Abashiri - approximately 10 minute drive

The lake immediately north of Abashiri city, facing open water to the north and northeast. The lake shore gives a clear northern horizon across the water with minimal light pollution in that direction. The lakeside road is accessible year-round and provides good north-facing positions away from the small urban center.

Notoro Lagoon

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky 15 km from Abashiri - approximately 20 minute drive

A large coastal wetland east of Abashiri, facing the Sea of Okhotsk. The flat lagoon terrain gives 360-degree open sky with no terrain obstruction. Notoro Cape on the northern edge of the lagoon faces north over the sea. Known for drift ice in winter - the flat sea ice further opens the northern horizon in January-February.

Shiretoko Peninsula

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1-2 - Excellent dark sky 70 km from Abashiri - approximately 75 minute drive

A UNESCO World Heritage Site 70 km east of Abashiri, one of the most remote accessible landscapes in Japan. The peninsula extends northeast into the Sea of Okhotsk with no settlement at its tip. The Utoro side of the peninsula faces north and northeast over open sea. Bortle 1-2 conditions at the northern tip in clear conditions.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Abashiri

At 37°N magnetic latitude, Abashiri sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Abashiri's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Abashiri

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Wakkanai

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 7-8
Checking darkness…
Sapporo

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Abashiri?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Abashiri's threshold of 8+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0Jan
0Feb
0Mar
0Apr
0May
0Jun
0Jul
0Aug
0Sep
0Oct
0Nov
0Dec

Counts the Kp 8+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Abashiri

Aurora is rare at this latitude - conditions require Kp 8+. No month reaches a meaningful average.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Abashiri

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over Abashiri Aurora over Abashiri
Aurora over Abashiri Aurora over Abashiri
Aurora over Abashiri Aurora over Abashiri
Aurora over Abashiri Aurora over Abashiri
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Abashiri

Can you see aurora from Abashiri?
Only during a major geomagnetic storm. Abashiri sits at about 44°N geographic latitude but only around 37° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what actually decides where the aurora reaches. That gap is why the northern lights here need a major storm, not the routine activity that lights up Norway or Alaska. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9, a G4-G5 storm. What appears is red aurora low on the northern horizon, often easier to record on a long-exposure camera than to see by eye. It is not reliable overhead aurora.
How does Abashiri compare to Sapporo for aurora?
Both sit at roughly 37° geomagnetic latitude and share the same Kp 8-9 threshold, so neither has a real edge on storm strength. The difference is the sky. Abashiri's northeast coast faces north over open sea with minimal light pollution, whereas Sapporo needs a 30-80 km drive to reach dark sky. During the same major storm, Abashiri's coastal dark sites - Notoro Lagoon and the Shiretoko coast - give a cleaner northern horizon for the low red glow than equivalent sites near Sapporo.
Can you combine drift ice viewing with aurora watching in Abashiri?
Yes, though aurora remains a rare bonus. The drift ice season runs from late January to mid-March, overlapping with the aurora season. The flat ice surface extends the northern horizon beyond what open water provides. Drift ice cruises operate from Abashiri port in the morning, and red aurora low to the north can be recorded from the ice coast in the evening if a major storm coincides. A reached Kp threshold is a global 3-hour average, so it means the night is worth checking rather than a guarantee for any one spot.
How do you get to Abashiri?
Abashiri is 5-6 hours from Sapporo by limited express train or 4 hours by car via the Hokkaido Expressway to Kitami and then east. Memanbetsu Airport near Abashiri has flights from Sapporo (around 40 minutes) and from Tokyo Haneda. The airport is the fastest option from outside Hokkaido.
When is the best time for aurora in Abashiri?
November to March, on the rare night a major storm lands. Winter brings clear weather under Siberian high pressure systems, and the Sea of Okhotsk coast has good atmospheric transparency in these conditions. The drift ice period of January-February adds a distinctive foreground, though temperatures drop to -15°C or below and appropriate cold-weather preparation is necessary. Storm timing is unpredictable more than 1-3 days ahead, so the season sets the odds rather than any single date.
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