Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Victoria tonight

Victoria, Australia · 50° magnetic latitude · Kp 6 threshold

Aurora visibility · Victoria
6/9
Low chance tonight

Kp 6 is below the threshold for Victoria. Activity would need to rise to Kp 6 before aurora could reach this latitude.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 6
Magnetic latitude
~50°S
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 5 Jul, 09:18 UTC

7-day outlook for Victoria

Today
5 Jul
6
Possible
Tomorrow
6 Jul
3
Quiet
Tue
7 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
8 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
9 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
10 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
11 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

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What Kp is needed here?

Victoria sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 50°S. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 6 before the auroral oval expands far enough north to be visible from here.

At Kp 6, visibility is possible from Victoria but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Victoria

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark southern horizon within reach.

Cape Otway Lighthouse and Great Ocean Road

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky 230 km from Melbourne - approximately 2.5 hour drive

South-facing Southern Ocean coast at the tip of the Otway peninsula. Cape Otway Lighthouse - the oldest surviving lighthouse on mainland Australia - stands at the peninsula tip, surrounded by Otway National Park, which gives dark sky in all directions. The cliffs face directly south over open ocean. Strong Kp 5-6 events have produced aurora photographs along this stretch of coast.

Wilsons Promontory National Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 230 km from Melbourne - approximately 2.5 hour drive

The southernmost point of mainland Australia. The park faces south over Bass Strait toward Tasmania with no permanent light sources within its boundaries at night. South Point beaches give a directly south-facing position with an unobstructed ocean horizon. Kp 6 can produce visible aurora with Bass Strait as foreground. One of the most photographed aurora locations in Victoria. Camping permits required.

Mount Buffalo National Park (Alpine region)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky 320 km from Melbourne - approximately 3.5 hour drive

The Buffalo Plateau at 1400-1700 m elevation sits above the valley cloud that frequently blankets the Alpine region in winter. The open plateau faces south with Bright and Porepunkah far below in the valley. Elevation gives clear sky when the coast is overcast. Aurora has been photographed from the plateau during Kp 6+ events.

When to go

Best time to see the aurora australis in Victoria

At 50°S magnetic latitude, Victoria sits at the outer edge of regular aurora australis territory. Only the southern winter months, May through July, occasionally bring storms powerful enough to push the oval this far north. Outside this window, there is insufficient darkness for aurora to be visible.

Activity peaks around the March and September equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. These windows produce the strongest aurora australis events of the year for observers at this latitude.

Outside May through July, twilight prevents aurora visibility even during significant geomagnetic storms. The season is short, but equinox months on either side of winter can extend it when timing is favourable.

Up to 8 locations

Victoria

Australia

Low chance
Kp 6 need Kp 6
Checking darkness…
Melbourne

Australia

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 7-8
Checking darkness…
Falls Creek

Australia

Low chance
Kp 6 need Kp 6-7
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Victoria?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Victoria's threshold of 6+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0.4Jan
0.4Feb
0.5Mar
0.4Apr
0.4May
0.3Jun
0.4Jul
0.4Aug
0.5Sep
0.4Oct
0.4Nov
0.3Dec

Counts the Kp 6+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Victoria

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
0.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
2nd
September
0.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
January
0.4
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The January to March window averages 1 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

Aurora at this latitude requires patience - allow as many nights as possible during March.

Aurora activity peaks at the March and September equinoxes in both hemispheres. This is driven by the angle of Earth's magnetic field relative to the solar wind, not by local seasons. Winter months at this latitude offer longer dark nights for observing, but March and September average the highest number of aurora nights in the historical data.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Victoria

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over VictoriaAurora over Victoria
Aurora over VictoriaAurora over Victoria
Aurora over VictoriaAurora over Victoria
Aurora over VictoriaAurora over Victoria
Aurora over VictoriaAurora over Victoria
Aurora over VictoriaAurora over Victoria
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Victoria

Can you see aurora australis from Victoria?
Yes. From dark, south-facing coastal and alpine sites, Kp 6 is enough to produce visible aurora australis. The G5 storm of May 2024 produced aurora visible across the state, including from suburban areas. Wilsons Promontory and the Great Ocean Road are the most reliable positions - both face south over the Southern Ocean with minimal light pollution.
What Kp is needed for aurora in Victoria?
Kp 6 from dedicated dark sites such as Wilsons Promontory and the Great Ocean Road near Cape Otway. Alpine sites at elevation - Mount Buffalo Plateau, Falls Creek - can see aurora at Kp 5-6 when coastal cloud is absent. From Melbourne suburban areas, Kp 7 is typically required. Kp 6 events occur several times per year during solar maximum.
Is Melbourne a good place to watch aurora australis?
Melbourne itself needs Kp 7 before aurora is visible from dark sites on the city fringe. Better options are the south-facing ocean views at Wilsons Promontory and Point Nepean, both within 2-2.5 hours. The Great Ocean Road near Cape Otway is 2.5 hours and faces directly south over open ocean. For serious viewing from Melbourne, a 2-3 hour drive to one of these coastal positions is the practical approach.
When is aurora season in Victoria?
Aurora is most likely from March to October, with peak season May to August when winter nights are longest. June and July give up to 14 hours of darkness at Victorian latitudes. The equinox months - March and September - are statistically more geomagnetically active, which can produce aurora earlier and later in the year than the dark sky window alone would suggest.
How does Victoria compare to Tasmania for aurora australis?
Tasmania has a lower threshold - Kp 5 from sites like Cockle Creek, compared to Kp 6 from Victoria's best locations. This reflects Tasmania's more southerly magnetic latitude (54°S versus 50°S for Victoria). Tasmania sees aurora more frequently during the current solar cycle. Victoria's advantage is accessibility from Melbourne: Wilsons Promontory and the Great Ocean Road are 2-3 hour drives, practical for a night trip during an active forecast.
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