Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Tasmania tonight

Tasmania, Australia · 54° magnetic latitude · Kp 5 threshold

Aurora visibility · Tasmania
6/9
Possible tonight

Kp 6 is at the threshold for Tasmania. Aurora may be visible from a dark site if cloud cover permits.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 5
Magnetic latitude
~54°S
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 5 Jul, 09:18 UTC

7-day outlook for Tasmania

Today
5 Jul
6
Possible
Tomorrow
6 Jul
3
Quiet
Tue
7 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
8 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
9 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
10 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
11 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

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What Kp is needed here?

Tasmania sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 54°S. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 5 before the auroral oval expands far enough north to be visible from here.

At Kp 5, visibility is possible from Tasmania but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Tasmania

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark southern horizon within reach.

Cockle Creek (South West National Park)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1 - Excellent dark sky 120 km from Hobart - approximately 90 minute drive

The southernmost point reachable by road in Australia. The road ends at Cockle Creek in the South West National Park, where the beach faces south across Recherche Bay toward Antarctica. No artificial light for many kilometres in any direction. On a clear night this is one of the darkest road-accessible positions in the country, and aurora australis is photographed here regularly during G1-G2 events.

South Arm Peninsula

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky, good dark sky 30 km from Hobart - approximately 35 minute drive

A narrow peninsula 30 km south-east of Hobart facing south across Frederick Henry Bay and Storm Bay toward the open Southern Ocean. The tip at Calverts Hill and the east-shore beaches give south-facing positions with minimal light pollution. The most accessible dark sky position from the city and frequently used by Hobart aurora photographers.

Bruny Island south coast

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 65 km from Hobart - approximately 60 minute drive plus 15 minute ferry

The southern end of Bruny Island gives some of the darkest skies within reach of Hobart. The south-facing beaches around Adventure Bay look out over a wide stretch of open Southern Ocean. Take the ferry from Kettering, a 15 minute crossing, then drive south. The Labillardiere Peninsula at the island tip faces directly south.

When to go

Best time to see the aurora australis in Tasmania

At 54°S magnetic latitude, Tasmania sits at the outer edge of regular aurora australis territory. Only the southern winter months, May through July, occasionally bring storms powerful enough to push the oval this far north. Outside this window, there is insufficient darkness for aurora to be visible.

Activity peaks around the March and September equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. These windows produce the strongest aurora australis events of the year for observers at this latitude.

Outside May through July, twilight prevents aurora visibility even during significant geomagnetic storms. The season is short, but equinox months on either side of winter can extend it when timing is favourable.

Up to 8 locations

Hobart

Australia

Possible
Kp 6 need Kp 5-6
Checking darkness…
Cradle Mountain

Australia

Possible
Kp 6 need Kp 5
Checking darkness…
Launceston

Australia

Possible
Kp 6 need Kp 5-6
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Tasmania?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Tasmania's threshold of 5+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

1.2Jan
1.3Feb
1.6Mar
1.4Apr
1.2May
1Jun
1.2Jul
1.4Aug
1.5Sep
1.5Oct
1.2Nov
1.1Dec

Counts the Kp 5+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Tasmania

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
1.6
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
2nd
September
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay
3rd
October
1.5
avg aurora nights
Requires an extended stay

Best window

The August to October window averages 4 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

Aurora at this latitude requires patience - allow as many nights as possible during March.

Aurora activity peaks at the March and September equinoxes in both hemispheres. This is driven by the angle of Earth's magnetic field relative to the solar wind, not by local seasons. Winter months at this latitude offer longer dark nights for observing, but March and September average the highest number of aurora nights in the historical data.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Tasmania

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over TasmaniaAurora over Tasmania
Aurora over TasmaniaAurora over Tasmania
Aurora over TasmaniaAurora over Tasmania
Aurora over TasmaniaAurora over Tasmania
Aurora over TasmaniaAurora over Tasmania
Aurora over TasmaniaAurora over Tasmania
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Tasmania

Why is Tasmania the best place to see aurora australis in Australia?
Tasmania sits at 53-55°S magnetic latitude - the highest aurora position of any Australian state. That puts it on a par with southern Norway in the northern hemisphere, and comparable to Christchurch or Queenstown in New Zealand. At that magnetic latitude, a Kp 5 geomagnetic storm is sufficient to bring the auroral oval overhead. No other part of Australia gets close: mainland South Australia and Victoria sit at 48-52°S magnetic latitude and need Kp 6-7 for reliable sightings.
What Kp index is needed for aurora australis in Tasmania?
Kp 5 from the south coast of Tasmania - Hobart, South Arm Peninsula, Bruny Island, and Cockle Creek. The Kp index (a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 to 9) needs to reach at least 5 for the auroral oval to expand to 54°S magnetic latitude. At the darkest south-facing sites such as Cockle Creek - the southernmost road-accessible point in Australia - some aurora activity can appear at Kp 4-5 during the auroral oval's equatorward boundary passes. Launceston in the north of the state typically needs Kp 5-6.
What are the best dark sky locations in Tasmania?
Cockle Creek in the Recherche Bay area is the southernmost road-accessible point in Australia, with a clear southern horizon across the Southern Ocean and minimal light pollution. South Arm Peninsula, 30 km south-east of Hobart, gives a dark south-facing outlook over the D'Entrecasteaux Channel and beyond. Bruny Island south coast offers similar conditions with the added elevation of The Neck and Adventure Bay lookouts. For central Tasmania, Dove Lake at Cradle Mountain and the Tasmanian Wilderness World Heritage Area provide excellent dark skies away from coastal humidity.
When is the best time to see aurora australis in Tasmania?
The aurora season runs from April to September, with June to August the peak months. Winter nights are longest - around 14 hours of darkness near the June solstice at 43°S geographic latitude - giving the most observation time. September is also productive: the equinox period is statistically the most geomagnetically active time of year due to the Russell-McPherron effect. The west coast receives significantly more rainfall than the east coast; when clouds are forecast on the west, Hobart and the Tasman Peninsula on the east coast often stay clear. Avoid December to February when nights shorten to under 9 hours.
How does Tasmania compare to New Zealand for aurora australis?
Tasmania and New Zealand's South Island are closely comparable. Hobart at 54°S magnetic latitude sits near Christchurch (55°S magnetic) and Queenstown (54°S magnetic), giving similar Kp thresholds of around 5. The practical difference is terrain: New Zealand's Mackenzie Basin and Aoraki/Mount Cook region are purpose-built dark sky reserves with organised access, while Tasmania's South West National Park and Cockle Creek area offer larger contiguous wilderness without light pollution to the south. Both regions benefit from Southern Ocean horizons with no land between them and Antarctica.
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