Live aurora australis forecast

Aurora australis Tasmania tonight

Tasmania sits at 53-55°S magnetic latitude - the highest aurora position of any Australian state. Kp 5 from the south coast. Cockle Creek, Bruny Island, and South Arm Peninsula are the benchmark dark sky positions. Face south. Peak season: June to August.

Aurora forecast - Tasmania

Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 5 from southern Tasmania threshold. No significant aurora activity is expected at this time.

Current Kp

1

of 9

Best threshold in Tasmania: Kp 5 from southern Tasmania Ref. latitude: ~54°S mag.
↓ Bz nT Solar wind km/s Density p/cm³
Conditions right now: Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

7-day outlook for Tasmania

Today

21 May

Quiet

Tomorrow

22 May

Quiet

Sat

23 May

Quiet

Sun

24 May

Quiet

Mon

25 May

Quiet

Tue

26 May

Quiet

Wed

27 May

Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours. Badges show the best-case location in Tasmania.

Aurora australis visibility by Tasmanian location

Best time to see the aurora australis in Tasmania

Aurora australis in Tasmania requires major geomagnetic storms. Only the southern winter months (May through July) occasionally bring conditions powerful enough for visible aurora.

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Tasmania aurora at a glance

Tasmania is Australia's aurora capital by a considerable margin. Its magnetic latitude of 53-55°S is equivalent to southern Norway, putting it within routine reach of the auroral oval during moderate geomagnetic storms. Hobart needs Kp 5 - the lowest threshold of any Australian city. No part of mainland Australia comes close: Victoria and South Australia sit 2-4 Kp steps higher in their requirements.

Dark sky access is exceptional. South West National Park covers more than 600,000 hectares of roadless wilderness. Cockle Creek, at the end of the Huon Valley road, is the southernmost point reachable by car in Australia - it faces directly south across the Southern Ocean with no artificial light between the observer and Antarctica. Bruny Island south coast and South Arm Peninsula offer similar southern horizons within 30-40 km of Hobart.

The aurora season runs from April to September. June to August delivers the longest nights - around 14 hours of darkness at this latitude - and steady winter weather patterns. The west coast receives considerably more rainfall than the east; on nights with westerly cloud, the Tasman Peninsula and east coast often remain clear. When planning an observation window, check forecasts for both coasts.

The G5 geomagnetic storm of May 2024 - the strongest in two decades - produced aurora australis photographed across the entire state, from Hobart rooftops to Cradle Mountain and the central highlands. That event confirmed Tasmania's position as Australia's most reliable aurora destination during major solar activity, and demonstrated that even Kp 9 storm conditions are accessible from sites that otherwise see Kp 5.

Common questions

Aurora australis in Tasmania - locations, Kp thresholds, seasons, and dark sky sites.

Why is Tasmania the best place to see aurora australis in Australia?
Tasmania sits at 53-55°S magnetic latitude - the highest aurora position of any Australian state. That puts it on a par with southern Norway in the northern hemisphere, and comparable to Christchurch or Queenstown in New Zealand. At that magnetic latitude, a Kp 5 geomagnetic storm is sufficient to bring the auroral oval overhead. No other part of Australia gets close: mainland South Australia and Victoria sit at 48-52°S magnetic latitude and need Kp 6-7 for reliable sightings.
What Kp index is needed for aurora australis in Tasmania?
Kp 5 from the south coast of Tasmania - Hobart, South Arm Peninsula, Bruny Island, and Cockle Creek. The Kp index (a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 to 9) needs to reach at least 5 for the auroral oval to expand to 54°S magnetic latitude. At the darkest south-facing sites such as Cockle Creek - the southernmost road-accessible point in Australia - some aurora activity can appear at Kp 4-5 during the auroral oval's equatorward boundary passes. Launceston in the north of the state typically needs Kp 5-6.
What are the best dark sky locations in Tasmania?
Cockle Creek in the Recherche Bay area is the southernmost road-accessible point in Australia, with a clear southern horizon across the Southern Ocean and minimal light pollution. South Arm Peninsula, 30 km south-east of Hobart, gives a dark south-facing outlook over the D'Entrecasteaux Channel and beyond. Bruny Island south coast offers similar conditions with the added elevation of The Neck and Adventure Bay lookouts. For central Tasmania, Dove Lake at Cradle Mountain and the Tasmanian Wilderness World Heritage Area provide excellent dark skies away from coastal humidity.
When is the best time to see aurora australis in Tasmania?
The aurora season runs from April to September, with June to August the peak months. Winter nights are longest - around 14 hours of darkness near the June solstice at 43°S geographic latitude - giving the most observation time. September is also productive: the equinox period is statistically the most geomagnetically active time of year due to the Russell-McPherron effect. The west coast receives significantly more rainfall than the east coast; when clouds are forecast on the west, Hobart and the Tasman Peninsula on the east coast often stay clear. Avoid December to February when nights shorten to under 9 hours.
How does Tasmania compare to New Zealand for aurora australis?
Tasmania and New Zealand's South Island are closely comparable. Hobart at 54°S magnetic latitude sits near Christchurch (55°S magnetic) and Queenstown (54°S magnetic), giving similar Kp thresholds of around 5. The practical difference is terrain: New Zealand's Mackenzie Basin and Aoraki/Mount Cook region are purpose-built dark sky reserves with organised access, while Tasmania's South West National Park and Cockle Creek area offer larger contiguous wilderness without light pollution to the south. Both regions benefit from Southern Ocean horizons with no land between them and Antarctica.

Photograph the Aurora - Recommended Gear

This page contains affiliate links. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases.

Sony Alpha 7 III Mirrorless Camera
Camera

Sony Alpha 7 III Mirrorless Camera

View on Amazon
Nikon Z6 II Mirrorless Camera Kit
Camera

Nikon Z6 II Mirrorless Camera Kit

View on Amazon
Canon EOS R6 Mark II
Camera

Canon EOS R6 Mark II

View on Amazon
Nikon Z 50II Body
Camera

Nikon Z 50II Body

View on Amazon
Rokinon 14mm F2.8 Ultra Wide Lens
Lens

Rokinon 14mm F2.8 Ultra Wide Lens

View on Amazon
Sigma 16mm f1.4 DC DN Contemporary
Lens

Sigma 16mm f1.4 DC DN Contemporary

View on Amazon
K&F Concept 60" Carbon Fibre Tripod
Tripod

K&F Concept 60" Carbon Fibre Tripod

View on Amazon
AODELAN Wireless Camera Remote (Nikon)
Accessory

AODELAN Wireless Camera Remote (Nikon)

View on Amazon
K&F LP-E17 3-pack Battery & Charger (Canon)
Accessory

K&F LP-E17 3-pack Battery & Charger (Canon)

View on Amazon
Winter Mittens Gloves
Accessory

Winter Mittens Gloves

View on Amazon
BORUIT LED Head Torch
Accessory

BORUIT LED Head Torch

View on Amazon
Aurora Tonight

Aurora Tonight

Add to your home screen for instant aurora alerts

Add to your home screen

Tap then Add to Home Screen for instant aurora alerts