Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Tofino tonight

British Columbia, Canada · 54° magnetic latitude · Kp 4–5 threshold

Aurora visibility · Tofino
6/9
Good chance tonight

Kp 6 exceeds the visibility threshold for Tofino. Head out if skies are clear and you have a dark site.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 4–5
Magnetic latitude
~54°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 5 Jul, 09:17 UTC

7-day outlook for Tofino

Today
5 Jul
6
Good chance
Tomorrow
6 Jul
3
Unlikely
Tue
7 Jul
3
Unlikely
Wed
8 Jul
3
Unlikely
Thu
9 Jul
3
Unlikely
Fri
10 Jul
3
Unlikely
Sat
11 Jul
3
Unlikely

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

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What Kp is needed here?

Tofino sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 54°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 4–5 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 4–5, visibility is possible from Tofino but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Tofino

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Long Beach - Pacific Rim National Park Reserve

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 15 km from Tofino - approximately 20 minute drive

Long Beach is a 16 km stretch of Pacific coast within Pacific Rim National Park Reserve, facing directly north across the open ocean. The beach has no artificial lighting along its length and minimal light pollution from surrounding settlements. The northern horizon over the open Pacific gives a clear 180-degree view. On a Kp 4-5 night, aurora appears as a low arc above the ocean horizon. The sound of Pacific surf provides a backdrop that makes this one of the more distinctive aurora viewing positions on the BC coast.

Chesterman Beach

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 3 km from Tofino - approximately 10 minute walk

The closest dark sky position to Tofino town. Chesterman Beach has minimal development on its north end and faces west-northwest toward open ocean. The beach is accessible year-round at low tide. The northern sky above the Pacific horizon is dark and free of settlement light. At this distance from Tofino itself, sky quality drops only slightly from the remote beach sections further south on Long Beach. The most accessible aurora-watching position for those staying in Tofino village.

Clayoquot Sound Wilderness

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1 - Excellent dark sky 20 km north of Tofino - boat access required

The Clayoquot Sound UNESCO Biosphere Reserve north of Tofino is a largely roadless temperate rainforest with near-zero light pollution. The exposed outer coast islands and channels give Bortle 1 sky conditions. Access requires a boat or sea kayak, making this a target for serious observers during predicted strong storms (Kp 5+). The remote wilderness lodges in Clayoquot Sound - reachable by water taxi from Tofino - provide a base with access to these skies.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Tofino

Tofino's aurora season runs from late September through to March, when nights are long enough for truly dark skies. The equinox months, September and March, bring a natural boost in geomagnetic activity, making them statistically the best of the season. Summer months bring too much twilight for aurora to be visible at this latitude.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Tofino's latitude.

April through August brings persistent astronomical twilight that washes out aurora completely. Even strong events (Kp 6+) remain invisible during this period because the sky never gets dark enough.

Up to 8 locations

Tofino

Canada

Good chance
Kp 6 need Kp 4-5
Checking darkness…
Vancouver

Canada

Possible
Kp 6 need Kp 5
Checking darkness…
Prince George

Canada

Good chance
Kp 6 need Kp 3-4
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Tofino?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Tofino's threshold of 4+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

3.9Jan
4.2Feb
5.2Mar
4.7Apr
4May
0.9Jun
3.4Jul
4.7Aug
5Sep
4.8Oct
3.9Nov
3.5Dec

Counts the Kp 4+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Tofino

Based on 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024)

1st
March
5.2
avg aurora nights
Stay 9+ nights for 80% chance
2nd
September
5.0
avg aurora nights
Stay 9+ nights for 80% chance
3rd
October
4.8
avg aurora nights
Stay 10+ nights for 80% chance

Best window

The August to October window averages 15 aurora nights - the strongest consecutive stretch of the year.

How long to stay

For your best chance in March, plan at least 9 nights.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Tofino

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over TofinoAurora over Tofino
Aurora over TofinoAurora over Tofino
Aurora over TofinoAurora over Tofino
Aurora over TofinoAurora over Tofino
Aurora over TofinoAurora over Tofino
Aurora over TofinoAurora over Tofino
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Tofino

Can you see the northern lights from Tofino?
Yes, from the Pacific beaches during Kp 4-5 storms. Tofino sits at 54°N magnetic latitude on the outer coast of Vancouver Island. Long Beach in Pacific Rim National Park faces north across open ocean with no artificial lighting along its 16 km length. On a Kp 4 night, an aurora arc above the Pacific horizon is possible from Long Beach or Chesterman Beach. Kp 5+ brings visible colour and structure. The open ocean position gives a lower visible horizon than inland sites at the same latitude.
What Kp is needed for aurora in Tofino?
Kp 4-5 from the Pacific beaches. At 54°N magnetic latitude, Tofino sees the auroral oval expand overhead during moderate-to-strong geomagnetic activity. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a 0-9 scale - needs to reach 4 before aurora becomes reliably visible above the ocean horizon. The ocean horizon itself gives an advantage: the visible sky extends lower here than at inland locations surrounded by trees, so lower Kp events can still produce a faint arc.
What are the best aurora watching spots near Tofino?
Long Beach in Pacific Rim National Park is the benchmark - 16 km of north-facing Pacific coast with Bortle 2 sky and no settlement lighting. Chesterman Beach, 3 km from town, is the most accessible option and gives similar sky quality on its north end. For a major storm, the outer coast of Clayoquot Sound - reached by boat - provides Bortle 1 conditions. The key in Tofino is facing north along the beach rather than straight out to sea, as aurora is a northern phenomenon and the beaches run roughly north-south.
When is the best time for aurora in Tofino?
August to April. Tofino has adequate darkness from late August. The outer coast has a maritime climate with frequent rain and low cloud, particularly in autumn and winter, so clear nights are less common than inland locations at similar latitudes. The best strategy is to monitor the 3-day Kp forecast and the cloud cover forecast together, then move quickly on clear nights with Kp 4+ forecast. November to March delivers the most available dark hours but also the most cloud. September is a good balance of darkness, cloud frequency, and storm probability.
How does Tofino compare to Vancouver for aurora?
Tofino has a lower Kp threshold than Vancouver - Kp 4-5 versus Kp 3-4 from dark sites. This is partly explained by geography: Tofino's magnetic latitude is around 54°N while Vancouver sits closer to 58°N magnetic. However, Tofino's open ocean horizon gives a lower visible altitude for aurora, partially compensating for the latitude disadvantage. The more significant factor is light pollution: Long Beach is Bortle 2 while all practical dark sky sites near Vancouver are at least 1-2 hours away from the city.
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