Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Hakodate tonight

Hokkaido, Japan · 35° magnetic latitude · Kp 8-9 threshold

Aurora visibility · Hakodate
6/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 6 is well below the Kp 8-9 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Hakodate.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 8-9
Magnetic latitude
~35°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 5 Jul, 16:22 UTC

7-day outlook for Hakodate

Today
5 Jul
6
Quiet
Tomorrow
6 Jul
3
Quiet
Tue
7 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
8 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
9 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
10 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
11 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Hakodate sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 35°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 8-9, visibility is possible from Hakodate but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Hakodate

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Mount Hakodate summit

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 4-5 - Suburban sky Within Hakodate city - ropeway from base or toll road to summit at 334 m

Mount Hakodate (334 m) is the city's signature viewpoint, with Hakodate's famous night panorama spread below. For aurora, the summit gives the benefit of elevation above valley inversion cloud and a 360° horizon, though the city's own light dome is directly below. The north-facing view over the Tsugaru Strait and toward the dark hills of southern Hokkaido is the useful direction. In a major storm (Kp 8-9), the northern sky above the city glow would be the first place to check for low red aurora. The toll road to the summit operates until 22:00 in summer and later in peak autumn viewing season.

Onuma Quasi-National Park

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3-4 - Rural sky 20 km north of Hakodate - approximately 25 minute drive via Route 5

Onuma and Konuma lakes sit in a caldera plain 20 km north of Hakodate, with Komagatake volcano (1,131 m) rising to the east. The lake shore gives a clear north-facing view with the volcanic cone as a foreground. Settlement lighting from Onuma town is minimal and the road around the lake gives multiple access points. Bortle 3-4 conditions across the lake shore, improving slightly in the western area away from the village. Komagatake screens light from Hakodate to the south. A practical dark site for those based in Hakodate who need to be within 30 minutes of the city.

Cape Tappi, Aomori (ferry crossing)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky Aomori Prefecture - approximately 30 minute ferry crossing from Hakodate port to Oma, then 70 km drive

Cape Tappi is the northernmost point of Honshu, facing north across the Tsugaru Strait toward Hokkaido. The cape gives a north-facing sea horizon with Bortle 2 conditions - it is one of the darkest accessible coastal sites in northern Japan outside Hokkaido. Hakodate is directly visible as a glow across the strait, approximately 23 km away, but the cape's elevated position and north-facing orientation put that glow below the relevant horizon. The ferry from Hakodate to Oma operates year-round but infrequently - checking the timetable is essential. This is a planned outing rather than a spontaneous option, but for a Kp 8-9 storm with clear skies, the combination of Bortle 2 sky and north-facing sea horizon makes it worthwhile.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Hakodate

At 35°N magnetic latitude, Hakodate sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Hakodate's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Hakodate

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Sapporo

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Niseko

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Hakodate?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Hakodate's threshold of 8+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0Jan
0Feb
0Mar
0Apr
0May
0Jun
0Jul
0Aug
0Sep
0Oct
0Nov
0Dec

Counts the Kp 8+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Hakodate

Aurora is rare at this latitude - conditions require Kp 8+. No month reaches a meaningful average.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Hakodate

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over HakodateAurora over Hakodate
Aurora over HakodateAurora over Hakodate
Aurora over HakodateAurora over Hakodate
Aurora over HakodateAurora over Hakodate
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Hakodate

Can you see the northern lights from Hakodate?
Only during the strongest geomagnetic storms. Hakodate sits at about 42°N geographic latitude but only around 35° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what actually decides where the aurora reaches. That gap is why the northern lights here need a major storm, not the routine activity that lights up Norway or Alaska. As the southernmost city in Hokkaido, Hakodate is the hardest position on the island. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach 8-9, a G4-G5 storm. The G5 storm of May 2024 (Kp 9) produced aurora photographs from Hakodate, including from Mount Hakodate summit. What appears is red aurora low on the northern horizon, often easier to capture on a long-exposure camera than to see by eye. This is not reliable overhead aurora.
Why is the Kp threshold higher for Hakodate than other Hokkaido cities?
Hakodate is at the southern tip of Hokkaido at around 35° geomagnetic latitude - the lowest of any city on the island, and lower than the far northern towns. Geomagnetic latitude, measured from Earth's magnetic poles rather than the equator, is what governs where aurora reaches. Wakkanai and the northern islands sit a little higher at around 39° geomagnetic and need Kp 7-8; Hakodate at around 35° needs the strongest storms, Kp 8-9 (G4-G5). Kp is a 3-hour global average, so even when the threshold is met it means it is worth checking the northern horizon, not that aurora is guaranteed. Hakodate is a worthwhile aurora base only during major storms, not routine G1-G2 activity.
Has aurora actually been seen from Hakodate?
Yes. During the G5 storm of May 2024 and during earlier strong storms of Solar Cycle 25, aurora was photographed from Hakodate and the surrounding area. Several photographs from the Onuma Park lake shore appeared on Japanese social media during the May 2024 event. What was recorded was red aurora low on the northern horizon, mostly captured on camera rather than seen clearly by eye. Hakodate at around 35° geomagnetic latitude is not a routine aurora location, but during a G4-G5 storm it moves from a theoretical possibility to a documented one.
Should you visit Hakodate specifically to see aurora?
No. For a dedicated aurora trip, Wakkanai or Abashiri give better odds, though both still depend on rare major storms. Hakodate makes sense as part of a broader Hokkaido itinerary - the city has good seafood, the Goryokaku fort, and cable car views that justify a stop regardless. Monitor the space weather forecast during your visit and drive to Onuma Park if a Kp 8-9 storm is predicted. That is the right framing for Hakodate: aurora as a bonus, not the primary reason to go.
What are the best dark sky positions near Hakodate for aurora?
Onuma Park, 20 km north, gives Bortle 3-4 sky with a north-facing lake reflection and the volcanic cone of Komagatake as a background - the most practical dark site within 30 minutes. Cape Tappi in Aomori, accessible by ferry, gives Bortle 2 sky with a north-facing sea horizon over the Tsugaru Strait. For a Kp 8-9 storm where low red aurora reaches the northern sky, Mount Hakodate's summit (334 m) is accessible by toll road and gives a clear horizon above the city light dome.
Photograph the aurora

Recommended gear

Tested picks for capturing the aurora on long, cold nights.

As an Amazon Associate, Aurora Tonight earns from qualifying purchases. Affiliate links never influence the forecast or which gear is recommended.

Aurora Tonight

Aurora Tonight

Add to your home screen for instant aurora alerts

Add to your home screen

Tap then Add to Home Screen for instant aurora alerts