Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Hokkaido tonight

Hokkaido, Japan · 37° magnetic latitude · Kp 8-9 threshold

Aurora visibility · Hokkaido
6/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 6 is well below the Kp 8-9 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Hokkaido.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 8-9
Magnetic latitude
~37°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 5 Jul, 16:21 UTC

7-day outlook for Hokkaido

Today
5 Jul
6
Quiet
Tomorrow
6 Jul
3
Quiet
Tue
7 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
8 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
9 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
10 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
11 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Hokkaido sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 37°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 8-9, visibility is possible from Hokkaido but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Hokkaido

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Biei plateau and Shirogane area

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3-4 - Rural sky Near Biei - approximately 2 hours from Sapporo by car

The Biei plateau in central Hokkaido sits at 200-400 m elevation with farmland and rolling hills that limit light scatter. The area north of Biei town opens toward the Daisetsuzan massif with a clear northern horizon. Bortle 3-4 across the plateau. The artificial pond lighting at the Blue Pond is switched off at night outside the tourist season, making the approach road a quiet dark sky access point. The main limitation is the glow of Asahikawa 30 km to the north-west. Accessible by car year-round on cleared roads.

Shiretoko Peninsula

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky Near Utoro - approximately 3 hours from Abashiri by car

A UNESCO World Heritage site at the northeast tip of Hokkaido. The peninsula road ends at Kamuiwakka Falls; the interior is bear country accessible only on guided tours or by boat. From the Utoro side, north-facing views over the Sea of Okhotsk are completely unobstructed. Bortle 2 conditions prevail across the peninsula - the nearest town with significant lighting is Abashiri, 90 km to the south-west, blocked by the Shiretoko range. This is the darkest accessible position on Hokkaido by sky quality. The drive makes it a dedicated outing rather than a spontaneous stop.

Daisetsuzan National Park highlands

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky Near Asahidake - approximately 2 hours from Sapporo via Asahikawa

Japan's largest national park covers 2,267 km² of volcanic highland. The Asahidake Ropeway reaches 1,600 m where the tree line ends and the horizon opens in all directions. Light pollution from Asahikawa to the west is reduced by the intervening ridge. The north-facing upper slopes give one of the highest accessible observation points in central Hokkaido. Bortle 2-3 at elevation. The ropeway operates through winter for backcountry skiers, giving practical nighttime access. Sounkyo and Tenninkyo gorges on the eastern flanks are lower but equally dark.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Hokkaido

At 37°N magnetic latitude, Hokkaido sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Hokkaido's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Hokkaido

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Sapporo

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Abashiri

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 6 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Hokkaido?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Hokkaido's threshold of 8+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0Jan
0Feb
0Mar
0Apr
0May
0Jun
0Jul
0Aug
0Sep
0Oct
0Nov
0Dec

Counts the Kp 8+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Hokkaido

Aurora is rare at this latitude - conditions require Kp 8+. No month reaches a meaningful average.

From the community

Aurora photographs from Hokkaido

Real photos sourced from Wikimedia Commons.

Aurora over HokkaidoAurora over Hokkaido
Aurora over HokkaidoAurora over Hokkaido
Aurora over HokkaidoAurora over Hokkaido
Aurora over HokkaidoAurora over Hokkaido
Questions

Common questions about aurora in Hokkaido

Can you see the northern lights in Hokkaido?
Yes, but only during a major geomagnetic storm. Hokkaido sits at about 43-45°N geographic latitude but only around 35-39° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what actually decides where the aurora reaches. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach 7-8 in the far north (Wakkanai, Rebun, Rishiri) and 8-9 across the rest of the island. What you see is a red glow low on the northern horizon, not overhead curtains, and it is often clearer on a long-exposure photograph than to the eye. The 2025-2026 solar maximum has produced several storms strong enough for aurora photographs across Hokkaido, more than any period since Solar Cycle 23.
Where in Hokkaido is best for seeing aurora?
Wakkanai at the northern tip gives the lowest threshold - Kp 7-8 from Cape Soya, Japan's northernmost point, with Rebun and Rishiri islands offshore at the same level. Northeast Hokkaido around Abashiri and the Shiretoko Peninsula has Bortle 1-2 sky but needs Kp 8-9. Central Hokkaido around Furano and Daisetsuzan, and the capital Sapporo, sit lowest in geomagnetic latitude and need Kp 8-9, a G4-G5 storm. Wherever you are, a dark, north-facing horizon matters more than anything once a storm is running.
What Kp is needed for aurora in Hokkaido?
Kp 7-8 from Wakkanai and the far north. Kp 8-9 from the Okhotsk coast, central Hokkaido and Sapporo. The figure once commonly quoted, Kp 5-6, is too low: it came from reading Hokkaido's geographic latitude rather than its much lower geomagnetic latitude. Treat Kp 7 as the realistic floor for the north and Kp 8-9 for the rest. Kp is a 3-hour global average, so a forecast reaching the threshold means a night is worth checking, not a certainty.
When is the best time for aurora in Hokkaido?
October to March. The nights are long and in winter the Sea of Okhotsk coast in northeast Hokkaido clears well under Siberian high pressure. October and March have higher geomagnetic activity on average due to the Russell-McPherron effect near the equinoxes. In January and February, cold high-pressure nights from the north-west produce excellent sky transparency across the island, though coastal fog can affect Abashiri and the Okhotsk coast.
How has the solar maximum affected aurora in Hokkaido?
The 2025-2026 solar maximum has produced more frequent strong geomagnetic storms than any period since Solar Cycle 23. Several events between 2024 and 2026 produced aurora visible from across Hokkaido, attracting significant attention across Japan and Asia. The level of activity above Kp 7 has been high enough that monitoring the NOAA space weather forecast during any winter visit to Hokkaido and having dark site access planned in advance is a practical strategy, not an optimistic one.
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