Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Nemuro tonight

Eastern Hokkaido, Japan · 37° magnetic latitude · Kp 8-9 threshold

Aurora visibility · Nemuro
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 8-9 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Nemuro.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 8-9
Magnetic latitude
~37°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 20 Jul, 12:57 UTC

7-day outlook for Nemuro

Today
20 Jul
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
21 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
22 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
23 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
24 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
25 Jul
3
Quiet
Sun
26 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Nemuro sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 37°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 8-9, visibility is possible from Nemuro but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Nemuro

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Cape Nosappu (Nosappu Misaki)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2-3 - Excellent dark sky 25 km east of Nemuro city - approximately 30 minute drive on Route 35

Cape Nosappu is the easternmost point of Hokkaido and the easternmost publicly accessible point on the Japanese mainland. The cape faces east across the Nemuro Strait toward the Habomai Islands. It is the first point in Japan to see the sun rise on any given day - and on nights with aurora activity, it is among the first positions in Japan to register it. Bortle Class 2-3 from the cape itself; the lighthouse and the small observation monument have some working lights but the headland positions to the south give a clean sky. In winter the cape is exposed and cold with frequent northeast winds off the Sea of Okhotsk.

Nemuro Peninsula coastal road

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 3 - Rural sky Along Route 35 east of Nemuro - accessible from any point on the 25 km stretch

The coastal road between Nemuro city and Cape Nosappu runs along the southern shore of the peninsula facing the Nemuro Strait. Multiple pull-offs along the 25 km give north and east-facing positions over the water. Bortle Class 3 from the road corridor. The Sea of Okhotsk coast gives clear winter nights under Siberian high pressure, with less coastal fog than the Pacific side of Hokkaido. Positions midway along the peninsula road reduce both the city glow from Nemuro to the west and the lighthouse light from the cape to the east. Useful for spontaneous stops without committing to the full drive to the cape.

Kiritappu wetland

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky 35 km west of Nemuro - approximately 40 minute drive

Kiritappu is a coastal wetland west of Nemuro where the Kushiro Shitsugen National Park approaches the coast. The flat bog terrain gives a 360° open sky with minimal horizon obstruction. Bortle Class 2. The wetland road is accessible in winter and the terrain is open enough for wide-angle photography of aurora overhead with the flat wetland below. Combined with a Nemuro base, Kiritappu extends the range of dark sky positions westward toward Kushiro. The wetland is protected conservation land - stay on the road and do not enter the bog itself at night.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Nemuro

At 37°N magnetic latitude, Nemuro sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Nemuro's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Nemuro

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Kushiro

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Abashiri

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Nemuro?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Nemuro's threshold of 8+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0Jan
0Feb
0Mar
0Apr
0May
0Jun
0Jul
0Aug
0Sep
0Oct
0Nov
0Dec

Counts the Kp 8+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Nemuro

Aurora is rare at this latitude - conditions require Kp 8+. No month reaches a meaningful average.

Questions

Common questions about aurora in Nemuro

Why is Nemuro significant for aurora in Japan?
Cape Nosappu at the eastern tip of Nemuro Peninsula is the easternmost publicly accessible point in Japan, with an open eastern and northern horizon over the Sea of Okhotsk and the Nemuro Strait. Even so, aurora here is rare. Nemuro sits at about 43°N geographic latitude but only around 37° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what actually decides where the aurora reaches. That gap is why the northern lights here need a major storm, not the routine activity that lights up Norway or Alaska. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9, a G4-G5 storm, the same threshold as Kushiro to the west. The coast-facing orientation and Bortle Class 2-3 sky from the cape give better conditions than comparable inland positions, but the eastern position does not lower the storm strength required.
What Kp is needed for aurora at Nemuro?
A major storm, Kp 8-9, from dark coastal positions including Cape Nosappu. At roughly 37° geomagnetic latitude, only a G4-G5 storm pushes the aurora far enough south to reach here. What appears then is red aurora low on the northern horizon, often easier to record on a long-exposure camera than to see by eye. It is not reliable overhead aurora. Kp is a global 3-hour average, so the threshold being reached means the night is worth checking, not that aurora is guaranteed over the cape. Aurora at Nemuro is an exceptional event on a Hokkaido trip - plan for it as a bonus rather than the primary reason to visit.
How does Nemuro relate to Kushiro as an eastern Hokkaido aurora base?
Kushiro (100 km west) is the larger city with more accommodation options and direct rail and air access from Sapporo and Tokyo. Nemuro has the eastern position advantage - Cape Nosappu extends 25 km further east and gives the open Nemuro Strait horizon. Both cities sit at roughly 37° geomagnetic latitude and share the same Kp 8-9 threshold. A practical itinerary uses Kushiro as the base for accommodation and access, with a day trip east to Nemuro and Cape Nosappu on a clear night when a major storm is forecast. The Kushiro Shitsugen wetlands and Nemuro's Kiritappu give back-to-back dark sky positions on the drive between the two cities.
How do I get to Nemuro?
Nemuro is the eastern terminus of the Nemuro Main Line from Kushiro (1 hour 30 minutes by express). Kushiro is accessible from Sapporo by the Super Ozora express train (3 hours 30 minutes) or by flight from Sapporo (40 minutes) or Tokyo (1 hour 30 minutes). There is no airport at Nemuro. By car from Kushiro, Nemuro is 100 km east on Route 44 (approximately 1 hour 20 minutes). A hire car is useful for reaching Cape Nosappu at night, as the city bus service does not run late. Cape Nosappu is 25 km from Nemuro city on Route 35.
How do I monitor aurora conditions from Nemuro?
Set up a push notification at /northern-lights-alert with a Kp 8 threshold. The notification is useful at Nemuro because the drive to Cape Nosappu takes 30 minutes each way - you need advance notice to be in position as conditions develop. Major geomagnetic storms typically ramp up over several hours from initial onset, giving enough time to drive from Nemuro city to the cape after receiving an alert. Check the 7-day forecast on this page for the storm outlook. Kp is a global 3-hour average, so a high reading means the night is worth checking rather than a guarantee for the cape, and conditions can rise or fade between updates.
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