Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Shiretoko tonight

Northeastern Hokkaido, Japan · 37° magnetic latitude · Kp 8-9 threshold

Aurora visibility · Shiretoko
1/9
Unlikely tonight

Kp 1 is well below the Kp 8-9 threshold needed for aurora to be visible from Shiretoko.

QuietStormExtreme
Threshold
Kp 8-9
Magnetic latitude
~37°N
Bz ↓ south
- nT
Solar wind
- km/s
Density
- p/cm³
Cloud
-
Conditions right now: - Kp + Bz + solar wind + cloud + moon

Updated: 20 Jul, 12:58 UTC

7-day outlook for Shiretoko

Today
20 Jul
1
Quiet
Tomorrow
21 Jul
3
Quiet
Wed
22 Jul
3
Quiet
Thu
23 Jul
3
Quiet
Fri
24 Jul
3
Quiet
Sat
25 Jul
3
Quiet
Sun
26 Jul
3
Quiet

Based on CME arrival predictions from NASA DONKI. Arrival times ±6 hours.

auroratonight.space

What Kp is needed here?

Shiretoko sits at a magnetic latitude of approximately 37°N. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9 before the auroral oval expands far enough south to be visible from here.

At Kp 8-9, visibility is possible from Shiretoko but skies need to be clear and dark. Cloud cover and light pollution remain the main obstacles even when Kp is high enough.

Plan your viewing

Best dark sky sites near Shiretoko

Light pollution is the biggest obstacle after cloud cover. These sites give you the best dark northern horizon within reach.

Utoro coastline

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 2 - Excellent dark sky At Utoro - the north coast faces open sea directly from the village

Utoro is the main settlement on the western side of Shiretoko Peninsula. The coastline faces north over the Sea of Okhotsk with no significant light source on the horizon. Bortle Class 2. The car park at the cape north of Utoro gives an unobstructed north-facing position above the sea. In winter the drift ice that arrives in January-February extends the dark foreground further. The small amount of illumination from the village is low and directed downward; moving 1-2 km north of the main settlement eliminates it entirely. This is among the darkest accessible coastal positions on Hokkaido.

Shiretoko Five Lakes (Goko)

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1-2 - Exceptional dark sky 12 km from Utoro - approximately 20 minute drive on the Shiretoko横断道路

The Shiretoko Five Lakes area is 12 km from Utoro along the peninsula road. At night the elevated boardwalk gives a platform above the surrounding forest canopy with an unobstructed northern view. Bortle Class 1-2. The lake surfaces reflect aurora when conditions are calm. The peninsula road beyond the Five Lakes is closed in winter (October to May), making the Five Lakes the furthest accessible point from Utoro by car. The absence of any settlement within 15 km in any direction gives conditions comparable to the most remote spots in Hokkaido.

Kamuiwakka Falls approach road

Get directions ↗
Bortle Class 1-2 - Exceptional dark sky 17 km from Utoro - accessible in summer only; road closes October to late May

The road to Kamuiwakka Falls continues beyond the Five Lakes in summer, reaching further into the interior of the peninsula. This road is closed October to late May, limiting winter access. When the road is open in early autumn (September to mid-October), positions along it give Bortle Class 1-2 conditions with an open north-facing horizon above the tree line on the coastal ridges. For winter visits, the Five Lakes area (12 km from Utoro) gives the best accessible dark sky on the peninsula. Note the road closure before planning - checking the Shiretoko Nature Centre website is advised.

When to go

Best time to see the northern lights in Shiretoko

At 37°N magnetic latitude, Shiretoko sits at the lower end of regular aurora territory. Only the deep mid-winter months of November through January offer nights dark enough for aurora to be visible, and only then when a significant geomagnetic storm pushes the auroral oval this far south.

Activity peaks around the September and March equinoxes, when Earth's magnetic field geometry is most favourable for coupling with the solar wind. Events during these two windows tend to produce the strongest displays of the year for observers at Shiretoko's latitude.

Outside November through January, twilight is too bright for aurora viewing even during significant storms. The season is short, but the equinox months on either side of winter can extend it slightly when storm timing aligns.

Up to 8 locations

Shiretoko

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Abashiri

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
Hokkaido

Japan

Unlikely
Kp 1 need Kp 8-9
Checking darkness…
The odds

How often does the aurora appear in Shiretoko?

Average nights per month the Kp reached Shiretoko's threshold of 8+, from 15 years of geomagnetic data (2010–2024).

0Jan
0Feb
0Mar
0Apr
0May
0Jun
0Jul
0Aug
0Sep
0Oct
0Nov
0Dec

Counts the Kp 8+ threshold only - cloud cover and local darkness are not included.
Kp data: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, CC BY 4.0

Make it happen

Plan your trip to Shiretoko

Aurora is rare at this latitude - conditions require Kp 8+. No month reaches a meaningful average.

Questions

Common questions about aurora in Shiretoko

Can you see the northern lights from Shiretoko?
Only during a major geomagnetic storm. Shiretoko sits at about 44°N geographic latitude but only around 37° geomagnetic latitude - the latitude measured from Earth's magnetic poles, which is what actually decides where the aurora reaches. That gap is why the northern lights here need a major storm, not the routine activity that lights up Norway or Alaska. The Kp index - a global measure of geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), updated every 3 hours - needs to reach Kp 8-9, a G4-G5 storm. Shiretoko Peninsula is one of Japan's most northerly points and has Bortle Class 1-2 sky, the lowest light pollution of any roadside position in Hokkaido, so when a storm of that size does land the low red aurora to the north shows here as clearly as anywhere in Japan. It is often easier to record on a long-exposure camera than to see by eye, and it is not reliable overhead aurora.
What makes Shiretoko better for aurora than elsewhere in Hokkaido?
Sky darkness. Most of Hokkaido has Bortle Class 3-4 conditions due to scattered agricultural and town lighting. Shiretoko Peninsula, as a UNESCO World Heritage wilderness with no permanent settlement past Utoro, reaches Bortle Class 1-2 from the Five Lakes and beyond. The threshold is the same Kp 8-9 as the rest of central and eastern Hokkaido, since they share roughly 37° geomagnetic latitude. What changes is contrast: during a major storm, the faint red glow low to the north that washes out near Sapporo or Kushiro stands out cleanly here. The Sea of Okhotsk coast north of Utoro also gives an open north-facing horizon, a requirement that many inland Hokkaido positions lack.
Is Shiretoko accessible in winter for aurora watching?
Partly. Utoro is accessible year-round and has accommodation and the ferry terminal. The road to the Five Lakes (12 km from Utoro) is open in winter - check locally as access can be affected by snowfall. The road beyond the Five Lakes toward Kamuiwakka Falls is closed from October to late May. For winter aurora, Utoro coastline and the Five Lakes area are the practical positions. The peninsula interior is a conservation area with restricted access - guided walks are required in the ecologically sensitive zone in summer, but in winter the road closure enforces the limit naturally.
How do I get to Shiretoko?
Utoro, the main gateway, is approximately 3 hours from Abashiri by car via the coast road (Route 244 and 334). From Sapporo, allow 5-6 hours by car or take the train to Shiretoko Shari and then a local bus or taxi to Utoro (30-40 minutes). Memanbetsu Airport near Abashiri has flights from Sapporo and Tokyo. In winter, the local bus service between Shiretoko Shari and Utoro runs on a reduced winter timetable - a hire car from Abashiri or Shari gives more flexibility for chasing clear skies at night.
How do I know when a Kp 8-9 storm is happening at Shiretoko?
Set up a push notification at /northern-lights-alert. This sends an alert when the Kp index rises above your chosen threshold - useful when staying in the region for several nights, as major storms are not predictable more than 1-3 days ahead. Keep in mind Kp is a global 3-hour average, so a threshold being reached means the night is worth checking, not that aurora is guaranteed over Shiretoko at that moment. The 7-day forecast on this page shows the outlook from NOAA space weather data, but the push notification means you do not have to check manually every few hours. Most Utoro guesthouses have outdoor access at night for guests who want to watch.
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